Black Holes That ClickEpisode 6 (Finale) / The Information Paradox & Quantum Gravity ── the diagonal of the cube

Once it has fully evaporated, does the swallowed information vanish, or come back? ── ℏ and G collide head-on

The Information Paradox & Quantum Gravity When a black hole evaporates completely, do the 10⁷⁷ bits of information vanish? Quantum mechanics says "they cannot vanish,"
while Hawking's original calculation said "they do." This collision is exactly the diagonal of the cube ── the heart of quantum gravity.

Tools you'll need: the bits of Ep. 2, the evaporation of Ep. 3, the queue of Ep. 4, the holography of Ep. 5 This episode: ℏ (unitarity) vs G (Hawking's calculation)

Everything in the series converges here. In Episode 2, the horizon holds \(10^{77}\) bits of information. In Episode 3, a black hole evaporates and, one day, disappears entirely. In Episode 4, information is scrambled on the surface at the fastest possible rate, and "should" trickle back out in the radiation. In Episode 5, the information is written on the surface. So then ── when the black hole has evaporated completely and vanished without a trace, what happens to the information it swallowed? The iron rule of quantum mechanics is that "information is never destroyed (unitarity)." Yet Hawking's 1974 calculation announced that "the radiation is perfectly thermal (random), and the information vanishes." This head-on conflict is the famous black hole information paradox. And it is the final corner of physics' "cube" ── the single point where ℏ (the quantum, unitarity) and G (gravity, Hawking's curved spacetime) collide head-on. It is the heart of quantum gravity.

01Once it has fully evaporated, where does the information go?

Drop a single book into a black hole. The Hawking radiation of Episode 3 is thermal ── random light fixed only by the temperature, which (apparently) carries no trace of whether the book you dropped was a novel or a dictionary. The black hole grows lighter as it radiates, and eventually evaporates completely and disappears. All that remains is featureless thermal radiation. The book's information is nowhere. But in quantum mechanics, every process is in principle reversible, and information changes form but is never destroyed (a pure state stays a pure state). Even a burned book could, in principle, be reconstructed if you measured the smoke and ash perfectly. If black holes alone were the exception and truly destroyed information, the foundation of quantum mechanics would collapse. This is the paradox.

02ℏ and G, in a head-on collision

Two pillars say the opposite

The G side (Hawking's original calculation): computing a quantum field on top of curved spacetime (general relativity) makes the radiation perfectly thermal → information vanishes (non-unitary).
The ℏ side (quantum mechanics): the total time evolution is unitary → information is necessarily preserved.
Each ought to be correct on its own turf, yet the conclusions are exact opposites.

This contradiction arises because Hawking's calculation was a semiclassical approximation (spacetime is a classical curved background, and only the quantum field on top of it is treated quantum-mechanically). Of \(c\), \(\hbar\), and \(G\), it held spacetime (\(G\)) fixed as classical while adding the quantum (\(\hbar\)) on top ── but the very regime where the fate of the information is at stake is precisely the one in which spacetime itself should also be treated quantum-mechanically. So resolving the paradox demands the diagonal of the cube ── full quantum gravity. Black holes are the "keyhole" through which we glimpse quantum gravity.

03The Page curve ── if information comes back, this is how it should look

Whether "information vanishes or comes back" can be decided by one sharp curve (Page, 1993). Track, over time, the entanglement entropy of the radiation (a measure of how much the emitted radiation is entangled with the black hole).

Two scenarios

Information vanishes (Hawking): the radiation's entropy increases monotonically (thermal to the end).
Information is preserved (unitary): the entropy increases partway, then turns around at the Page time (around when the hole is half-evaporated) and finally returns to 0 (= returns to a pure state = all the information has come back). This mountain shape is the Page curve.

Which curve it traces ── that is the decisive fork between whether information vanishes or comes back.

04Try it ── the Page curve

The figure below. The horizontal axis is the evaporation progress (0 = freshly formed, 1 = fully evaporated); the vertical axis is the (entanglement) entropy of the radiation. Blue is the black hole's own entropy (area ∝ remaining mass², decreasing). The red dashed line is the radiation entropy of Hawking's calculation (monotonically increasing = information loss). Green is the unitary Page curve (rises, turns around at the Page time, and ends at 0 = information preserved). Move time with the slider and watch the black hole on the right shrink.

Hawking's red keeps increasing to the end, so entropy remains when the hole has fully evaporated = it means the information vanished (and, absurdly, along the way it exceeds the hole's own entropy (blue)). The green Page curve turns around at the Page time and returns to 0 = all the information came back. "Which one is right" was the great problem of a half-century.

Figure: horizontal = evaporation progress, vertical = radiation entropy. Blue = the BH's own entropy (decreasing), red dashed = Hawking (monotonic increase = information loss), green = Page curve (turns around at the Page time toward 0 = information preserved). The BH on the right shrinks.
BH entropy Hawking (information loss) Page curve (information preserved)

05Recent progress, and the diagonal of the cube

In 2019–2020 there was major progress. Calculations that incorporated new contributions to the gravitational path integral ── islands and replica wormholes ── reproduced (in specific models) the radiation entropy actually tracing the Page curve and turning around. This strongly supports "information is preserved (unitary)," pointing toward quantum mechanics and gravity being consistent after all. Hawking himself, in his later years, had come around to thinking that information is not lost.

Information → gravity, and "spacetime from entanglement" This story brings the series full circle ── the information is fundamental (gravity emerges from boundary information) of Episode 5, and Jacobson's (1995) result that "the Einstein equations can be derived from thermodynamics (entropy)." Recently, the view that spacetime itself is woven from quantum entanglement (ER=EPR: entanglement = wormhole) has gained ground. Gravity and spacetime may not be dimensionful "substances" but rather secondary things that emerge from dimensionless information (bits, entanglement) ── this is the deepest point yet reached by the backbone of the whole "That Click" series: "units are stage scenery, the real thing is dimensionless ratios."

That said ── this remains the last corner of the cube, unreached by anyone. Even where the Page curve can be reproduced, debate continues over the real-space mechanism of "concretely how the information gets out," and much of it is set in special (low-dimensional, holographic) models. A complete theory of quantum gravity in our expanding universe does not yet exist. String theory and loop quantum gravity keep aiming for this diagonal. Black holes were the one window through which that uncharted corner could be glimpsed, in the dimensionless language of information.

◇ ◇ ◇
The honest line ── this is the frontier, so the line is drawn thickest here

Established: the existence of the information paradox (the conflict between thermal radiation in Hawking's semiclassical calculation and the unitarity of quantum mechanics), that the Page curve is the criterion for information preservation, and that resolving the paradox requires quantum gravity. Widely-supported recent progress: the reproduction of the Page curve via islands / replica wormholes (the gravitational path integral) (2019–2020, Penington, Almheiri–Engelhardt–Marolf–Maxfield, and others), which strongly supported information preservation (unitarity).

Unresolved / caveats. ① Many of these calculations are set in specific (often low-dimensional, holographic) models and are not a complete resolution for our 4-dimensional, expanding universe. ② The concrete mechanism of "how information escapes in real space," and the consistency of the firewall (AMPS 2012: the tension from the monogamy of entanglement) and complementarity, remain unresolved issues. ③ "Spacetime emerges from entanglement," "ER=EPR," and "information → gravity (Verlinde's emergent gravity, etc.)" are appealing but works-in-progress, some of them controversial, not established theory. ④ A complete theory of quantum gravity is unfinished (the last corner of the cube) ── this episode has distinguished "the established conflict," "the leading recent progress," and "the uncharted frontier," and makes no assertions. ⑤ In this series' background research, an exhaustive verification of the primary sources on this frontier side could not be completed, and the account rests on standard expositions and reviews.

Exercises (solvable with this episode's way of thinking)
  1. In the information paradox, what are the two conflicting claims? Which pillar (constant) does each correspond to?
    Show the answer
    "The radiation is thermal and information vanishes" (Hawking's semiclassical calculation = G, curved spacetime) vs "the time evolution is unitary and information is preserved" (quantum mechanics = ℏ). The collision of ℏ and G.
  2. What is the Page curve? If information is preserved, how does the radiation's entropy behave?
    Show the answer
    The time evolution of the radiation's entanglement entropy. If information is preserved, it increases partway, turns around at the Page time (around when the hole is half-evaporated), and finally returns to 0 ── a mountain shape (returning to a pure state = all the information came back). If it increases monotonically, information is lost.
  3. Why does resolving this paradox require quantum gravity?
    Show the answer
    Hawking's calculation is a semiclassical approximation (spacetime G stays classical, only the quantum ℏ is added on top). The fate of the information is at stake in the regime where spacetime itself should also be treated quantum-mechanically, so a complete quantum gravity that handles c, ℏ, and G at once (the diagonal of the cube) is needed.
  4. What does the recent progress (islands, etc.) show, and what is still unresolved?
    Show the answer
    New contributions to the gravitational path integral reproduced the Page curve, strongly supporting information preservation (unitarity). But much of it is in specific models, and the real-space escape mechanism and a complete theory of quantum gravity for a 4-dimensional expanding universe are unresolved (the last corner of the cube).

Episode 6 summary / Black Holes That Click ── completeInformation is not destroyed ── the last corner of the cube

When a black hole has fully evaporated, do the \(10^{77}\) bits it swallowed vanish? Hawking's original calculation (G, semiclassical) says "they vanish with the thermal radiation," while quantum mechanics (ℏ, unitary) says "they are necessarily preserved" ── the collision of these opposite conclusions is the information paradox. This is a breakdown of the semiclassical approximation, and resolving it requires a complete quantum gravity that handles c, ℏ, and G at once ── the diagonal of the cube. The criterion is the Page curve (if information is preserved, it is mountain-shaped and returns to 0).

The islands / replica wormholes of 2019–20 reproduced the Page curve in a gravitational calculation and strongly supported information preservation (unitarity) ── pointing toward quantum mechanics and gravity being consistent. Behind this lies the deepest form of the series' backbone (units are stage scenery, the real thing is dimensionless information): "information is fundamental, and spacetime and gravity emerge from entanglement." Yet the real-space escape mechanism, the 4-dimensional expanding universe, and a complete theory remain uncharted. Black holes were the one window through which that last corner could be glimpsed, in the dimensionless language of information. Thinking from there, even quantum gravity may, one day, cease to be complicated.

This document is Episode 6 (the finale) of the "Black Holes That Click" series, a piece of reading for physics-loving high-school and university students. The black hole information paradox (the conflict between thermal radiation from Hawking's 1976 semiclassical calculation and the unitarity of quantum mechanics), the fact that the Page curve (Page 1993) is the criterion for information preservation, that resolving it requires quantum gravity, the 2019–2020 reproduction of the Page curve via islands / replica wormholes (the gravitational path integral; Penington, Almheiri–Engelhardt–Marolf–Maxfield, and others) and the support it gave to unitarity, and Hawking's change of view late in life ── all are standardly recounted content. That many of these calculations rest on specific (low-dimensional, holographic) models and are not a complete resolution for the 4-dimensional expanding universe, that the real-space escape mechanism of information, the firewall (AMPS 2012), and the consistency of complementarity are unresolved, that "spacetime emerges from entanglement," "ER=EPR," and "emergent gravity (Verlinde 2011)" are works-in-progress and in part controversial viewpoints, and that a complete theory of quantum gravity is unfinished ── these are stated most thickly in the main text's "The honest line." In this series' background research, verification of the primary sources on the frontier side could not be completed, and the account relies on standard expositions. The figure is a qualitative schematic of the Page curve and the information-loss scenario. ── To print, use your browser's "Print" and "Save as PDF" (in the print version the slider and answers are frozen and hidden). Adjacent episodes: Episode 5: Holography / Contents / The Cube of Physics.

Print / save as PDF: ⌘+P (Ctrl+P on Windows). On screen, moving the evaporation progress t lets you see the divergence between Hawking (information loss) and the Page curve (information preserved). "Show the answer" opens each solution.